The investment case for Disney hinges on the growth of Disney+, so it's understandable for the stock to trade in line with the rate of subscriber growth, but the market overreacted to Disney's results last quarter. Disney should actually acquire the remaining piece of Hulu that it does not already own and should not sell ESPN, as some analysts and activists are pushing. This top entertainment stock should bounce back in 2022. However, Disneys CFO Christine McCarthy said Disney+ Core subscribers were expected to only increase slightly in Q1 2022/2023 before accelerating in the next quarter. Disney stock has been publicly traded since 1957 when it had its initial public offering where Disney stock was sold at $13.88 per share. Last year Disney films won 23 Oscar nominations. Disney's dividend yield in 2019 was 1.2%, and CFO Christine McCarty has said the next one "will likely be a small fraction of our pre-COVID dividend with the intention to increase it over time as our earnings power grows." DIS stock closed at $100.45 on 2/27/2023 on the day of writing. Disney Parks, Experiences and . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To make the world smarter, happier, and richer. As of 1 December2022, analysts tracked by MarketBeat gave Disney stock a moderate buy rating. Disneys stock price has significantly risen since its IPO. As of July 2022, the company operates two main business segments: Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution (DMED), and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products (DPEP). Iger's biggest strength lies in his experience, and both Disney staff and investors believe in him. The latest Disney stock news that moved the Disney stock price today came from its diluted first-quarter earnings report for 2022. Disney stock price broke $50 in 2013, the stock price hit $75 a year later and then finally smashed the $100 ceiling in 2015. Shareholder percentage totals can add to more than 100% because some holders are included in the free float. According to Variety, Disney spent about $460 million producing and promoting the film. On 12/29/2022, I gave a sell rating to Disney DIS at $87.18 based on this investment theme. What is DIS's Earnings Per Share (EPS) forecast for 2023-2025? Disney has grown its revenue and operating income steadily since 2020 despite various headwinds. which lost subscribers. We capture key trends in the Dow during and after major market crashes in our interactive dashboard analysis, Market Crashes Compared.'. Shares of the entertainment giant slid over 40% in 2022. Over Q2 FY22, Disneys Parks, Experiences, and Products segments results came in ahead of expectations at $6.7 billion, marking an increase of 110% year-over-year, despite this being a seasonably weak quarter which also saw a surge in omicron-related Covid cases. The first memo Iger sent out in his smashing return to the CEO role centered around giving Disney's creatives more control in the distribution process. Since reaching an all-time high closing price in March 2021, Disney stock has been spiralling down to below its pre-pandemic level. The stock hit an all-time high closing price of $201 on 8 March 2021, after California announced it would allow ballparks, stadia and theme parks to reopen for outdoor activities starting 1 April 2021. So far, the movie theater industry hasn't met an untimely demise, as many predicted. I believe Hulu is a strategic fit and should not be sold. The major market events for the week ahead right in your inbox. Join the 500.000+ traders worldwide that chose to trade with Capital.com, Also you can contact us: Disney is not a buy right now. Disneys flagship Disney+ - which was a big driver of Disney stock in recent years - saw subscriber additions hold up better than rivals, with the company adding 7.9 million subscribers over the last quarter, compared to Netflix Google The last time the stock was close to that value was around June of 2020, at which point the stock was trading at $109.10. A month later, Disney stock price dropped below $30, which was a year to date low. Here it stacks up against any other studio that had a top-10 film in 2022, which includes Paramount , Universal , and Warner Bros. And don't forget to keep an eye on the market's action. Additionally, Florida Gov. Iger is getting his ducks in order in his third transformation. That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys. As of 1 December, 22 analysts tracked by Market Beat recommended a moderate buy rating for Disney stock, while 19 recommended a buy and three gavea hold rating. More freedom in that process should lead to content being provided in the right medium to make the most money. The number includes 12 million Disney+ subscribers and nine million Core Disney+ subscribers. Disney announced a restructuring plan, which could potentially result in cost savings of $5.5 billion, and the company also announced the termination of 7,000 jobs. 3, Wish II) and two are based on previous hits (Peter Pan & Wendy, The Little Mermaid). Consider Disney's 2022 film slate versus its competitors. When looking for Disney stock projections, remember that analysts and algorithm-based predictions can be wrong, and shouldnt be used as a substitute for your own research. It's fine-tuning this formula for the streaming era, and the 10 films coming to theaters this year may make 2023 a blockbuster year for Disney. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. Iger has the task of finding a new CEO for Disney within the next 12-18 months. Shareholders seemed most excited about the new streaming forecasts, as the company now expects to reach . Remember that your decision to trade or invest should be based on your risk tolerance, market expertise, portfolio sizeand investmentgoals. The latter has expanded very successfully across international markets based on its focus on producing local language content. Analysts now see the stock, which has languished all year, to hit 145.51 in 12 months. The company forecast YoY revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 to decelerate to 0.9%. The Walt Disney Company at the 2022 Bank of America Securities Media, Communications & Entertainment Conference August 10, 2022 Disney's Q3 FY22 Earnings Results Webcast May 18, 2022 The Walt Disney Company at the 9th Annual MoffettNathanson Media and Communications Summit View All Investor Relations News February 9, 2023 Invest with Trefis Market Beating Portfolios. Its clear that some of our pricing initiatives were alienating to consumers. The history of the company started when brothers Walt and Roy founded the Disney Brothers Cartoon Studio on 16 October 1923, following Walts success in selling his first pilot cartoon film series,Alice Comedies. Here's why the stock should bounce back in 2022. Walt Disney Co. reported Q1 profit that fell substantially short of analysts' expectations which sent the stock price to a 10% decline in after-hours trading. . The DPEP segment includes significant lines of business like parks and experiences and consumer products. Market participants seem to have extrapolated one quarter's growth out into the future, which doesn't make any sense. Get instant access to exclusive stock lists, expert market analysis and powerful tools with 2 months of IBD Digital for only $20! According to the numbers, the earnings per share hit $1.06. Meantime, theme park revenue picked up. If you had invested $1,000 in Disney's IPO your stock today would be worth over 3 million dollars today. We. This will be Igers third transformation. Your decision to invest in Disney stock should be based on your risk tolerance, investing goals, and portfolio composition. Investor confidence is mounting as Disney returns to its decades-old formula of cashing in on top franchises to grow its business. Type a symbol or company name. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. He has credibility. Despite theaters reopening in 2022, the market had not returned to pre-pandemic form by the end of the year. Disney reported Q3 revenue of $17 billion, up 45% year over year, and earnings per share of $0.80, beating estimates of $0.55. It also spent less in . Disneys valuation multiples are also reasonably compelling. Wall Street analysts do not provide long-term Disney share price projections. Turning Red Preview Beyond Disney+, continued financial success in the Disney Parks could also be a big boost to stock. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Walt Disney and Warner Bros. Our priority is the enduring growth and profitability of our streaming business. And he has the headache with Florida to deal with. Of course, analysts are measuring the company's performance against management's guidance that Disney+ will reach between 230 million to 260 million subscriptions by fiscal 2024. Marvel has two more films for theater release in 2023, and another seven slated for release through 2026. The services algorithm-driven forecasting system said the stock is an acceptable long-term investment. Bear in mind that analyst views can be wrong, and that there are many factors that drive the companys stock price. And reopening movie theaters are boosting prospects for box-office sales. But losses in the streaming business continue to hurt the business. Our high-quality portfolio and multi-strategy portfolio have beaten the market consistently since the end of 2016. In the earnings call on 8 November, CEO Bob Chapek said the company still expected to achieve profitability in fiscal 2024, with losses expected to decrease in the first quarter offiscal 2023 and no significant shifts in the economic environment. It actually lost subscribers in the fourth quarter, and losses were still staggering. The consensus 12-month average Disney share price forecast was $132.07, a 34.95% potential increase from the closing price of $97.87 on 30 November. See our analysis of Disney valuation for more information on whats driving our price estimate for Disney and how its valuation compares with peers. If Disney decides to reinstate its dividend, it may have a minimal impact on shareholder value. Get these newsletters delivered to your inbox & more info about our products & services. Several catalysts led to Disney stock price to increase in 2023. These fans then go on to further engage with the MCU through theater releases and content-based products. The Companys registered office is at Bahamas Financial Centre, 3rd Floor, Shirley and Charlotte Street, P.O. Activist investors continue to play a cooperative role. * Average Estimates in Million (e.g. Currently, DIS is trading at an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 18.46, which is the highest among its peers. Image source: Walt Disney. However, the company's shares remain down 33% over the past 12 months. A 66 Earnings Per Share Rating reflects a three-year earnings growth rate of -35%, which includes a 19% decline in fiscal '19 and a 65% drop in fiscal '20. "We are intent on reducing our debt," Iger said on 2/9/2023 during an interview on CNBC. There are several potential catalysts that could lead to higher share prices, including the announcement of a new CEO in the next 18-24 months (If the new CEO has the same credibility Iger has), potential growth in streaming by gaining market share, a rationalized pricing policy, cost cuts, the success of a new blockbuster show due to increased creativity, lower debt levels, keeping ESPN and buying the rest of Hulu, and, most importantly, having activist managers advising and standing behind Iger. risk, allowing investors to make better decisions and streamline their work ow. But now it's trying to find its footing. Ownership data provided by Refinitiv and Estimates data provided by FactSet. The sequel to 2009's Avatar became the third highest-grossing movie of all time in February, overtaking 1997's Titanic and earning $2.24 billion globally so far. Disney reported a stronger than expected set of Q3 2022 results on Wednesday, sending the stock up by about 8% in pre-market trading on Thursday. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. Disney has three years to double its subscribers, but that should be an easy layup given that Disney has gotten this far without having deeply tapped the rich content pipeline it unveiled a year ago. This sets the stage for a long-term vision for the company that focuses on the streaming business, margin improvement, cost reduction, and strategic reorganization. Build a CFD portfolio with your favourite companies. However, this takeover is not expected to impact Disney's cash flow. However, as of 2/27/2023, there are other options for income, such as CDs yielding 4.5% to 5% and 10-year US Treasuries yielding 3.95%, with 1-year yielding 4.75%. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. It's hard to believe the $172 billion market cap behemoth started out in 1923 as Disney Brothers Cartoon Studio, by Walt and his brother, Roy O. Disney. Author's Comment in January 2023. However, the next day, on February 9, 2022, he suggested the possibility of selling Hulu during an interview with CNBC. The company added 14.6 million new subscriptions from its streaming service in the fourth quarter, bringing its total subscriptions for 2021/2022 to more than 235 million, said Chapek. Is it profitable to invest in Walt Disney Co (The) stock? It found a bottom on March 18, 2020, before making its way back to fresh highs. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. . The demographic difference in age is tremendous. Meanwhile, Disney stock could rise to $121.991 in November 2027, according to the sites projection. Park & Experiences operates all Disneys resorts, hotels, Disneyland parks, a four-ship vacation Disneyland Cruise Line, and other entertainment facilities. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Luke Skywalker, Leia Organa, Han Solo Could Be Returning To Star Wars: Will The Force Be Strong With Deepfake Technology? This measure against the company poses a political risk, as it may waste management's time and resources. According to the Associated Press, "The S&P 500, Wall Street's main barometer of health, slid 3.9% [in mid-June] to 3,749. However from that point Disney, like many Dow 30 members, was part of a huge run up over the next 3 years. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Stock Historical Prices & Data - Yahoo Finance U.S. Markets closed S&P Futures +2.25(+0.06%) Dow Futures 32,830.00 +4.00(+0.01%) Nasdaq Futures 12,015.75. Disney stock rose 13.6% on Dec. 11 following the announcements at the investors conference. its popular franchises like Marvel and Star Wars in the fourth quarter of 2022 on Disney Plus, according . Like clockwork, the stock slid. CEO Bob Iger's epic return to the top spot signaled confidence on Wall Street because he developed the playbook for Disney's well-oiled money-making machine. call +44 20 3097 8888 support@capital.com. Salesforce Soars Late, Tesla Doesn't Unveil New EV, FANG Stocks News & Quotes: Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google, Millennial Investing: Stocks, ETFs, Personal Finance, Student Loans, Walmart Stock Falls Amid Tech Unit Shakeup Ahead Of Earnings. Here are some of the many problems Disney has endured in 2022 and 2023. Moves like prioritizing quality over quantity by retaining members with a few select shows could go a long way in improving profit margins. Disney is nearly doubling its content releases from top brands like "Star Wars" in fiscal 2022. Disneys content investments are also likely to be much more durable, given its iconic franchises, unlike Netflix which focuses a lot more on one-off shows. Invest better with The Motley Fool. All rights reserved. In addition, Disney announced solid earnings, with an increase in revenue and beating EPS estimates for the fiscal Q1:2023. Historically, Disney's dividend yield ranged from 0.6% to 1.6% between 2011 to 2019. Why I rated Disney (NYSE:DIS) as a Sell in December 2022 is because of weak fundamentals, uncertainty surrounding the return of CEO Bob Iger, competition, and the highly variable financial performance of Disney, which is cyclical. Disney trades at $169.30 as of publishing, off the 52-week low of $79.07. In August 2011 Disney saw its stock price drop nearly 14% in one day after a number of multiple analysts downgraded it. And the gains are not over yet. Furthermore, Disney paid $900m for Major League Baseballs remaining 15% stake in the streaming company BAMTech (MLB), according to a SEC filing on, and was 1.5% below the pre-pandemic price of $99.40 on 16 October 2017,according to, In addition, rising US inflation started to bite into household spending around the time when streaming services, including Netflix, raised their subscription fees. Revenue in the 2021/2022 fiscal year increased to $82.72bn, from $67.41bn in the same period in the previous fiscal year. Outsmart the market with Smart Portfolio analytical tools powered by TipRanks. financial performance of Disney, which is cyclical. Yield investors in Disney now have more choices for income than just Disney stock. The parks segment has recovered well, with revenue nearly doubling year over year in the fiscal fourth quarter. When the symbol you want to add appears, add it to Watchlist by selecting it and pressing Enter/Return. But given Netflix's operating margin of 23.5%,Disney+ should be a major contributor to Disney's bottom line. Follow Matt Krantz on Twitter at @mattkrantz, View Breakout Stocks & Technical Analysis, Get Free IBD Newsletters: Market Prep | Tech Report | How To Invest, Catch The Next Big Winning Stock With MarketSmith. These are planned for release over the next few years. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Disney+ added 14.4 million subscribers for a total of 152.1 million, above views. The services algorithm-driven forecasting system said the stock is an acceptable long-term investment. The name was changed to The Walt Disney Studio at Roys suggestion. And that compounds the problem of real-world inflation for Disney, which said it spent $3.6 billion on capital expenditures in the past fiscal year and will increase that by $2.5 billion in 2022 . *Stock Advisor returns as of February 8, 2023. Theatrical releases, though, continue to struggle. There are several factors weighing the stock down. If you rely on the information on this page then you do so entirely on your own risk. It earned adjusted earnings of $1.09 a share on revenue of $21.5 billion vs. S&P Global Market Intelligence forecasts for $0.99 on $21.0 billion. And so we are going to monitor it very carefully. While the Covid-19 pandemic hit Disney with theme park closures and cancelled shows, the strong performance of its streaming services supported the companys performance. DPEPs operations has two main business lines: Parks & Experiences and Consumer Products. NFLX Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh. Analysts can be wrong and theirDisney share price forecasts shouldnt be used as a substitute for your own research. The sell-off was prompted by a combination of macroeconomic headwinds and increased competition in streaming that meant succeeding in the industry was costly. Disney is facing mounting pressure from its streaming business. It's one of Pixar's only bombs. Subscribers of Disney+ Hotstar were projected to decline in the first quarter2022/2023 after it lost rights to air the Indian Premier League (IPL) cricket games. In the sites Disney stock forecast for 2023, losed Joint Stock Company FinTech Solutions, Disney stock analysis and historical performance, What happened to Disney stock? Discovery. At the time of writing (1 December 2022), the stock last closed at $97.87 per share on 30 November, having sunk 51.8% from its all-time high price of $203 on 8 March 2021. When you think about it, Abbott Elementary airs on ABC, then it goes to Hulu. The list includes 21st Century Fox, Marvel Studios, Lucasfilm, Pixar and Blue Sky Studios. Since then, Marvel has been an incredible asset for Disney. Although shares are down almost 16% from a year ago and 13% since the beginning of 2022, they've rallied over the past month and, as of the market close on Feb. 15, had regained their January loss. At the time, Iger said he would stay on until the end of 2021 as executive chairman and direct the company's creative endeavors. It needs to first show significant improvement. Disney is taking a page out of Netflix's playbook. The CEO said his plan to cut costs by $5.5 billion will allow the company to start with a "modest" dividend and increase it over time. The streaming industry, in general, has been facing headwinds as people consume less content online as the economy opens up post-Covid. Formerly with Fidelity Investments, Dean Witter Investment Management, Citibank - Amsterdam, Eli Lilly - Brussels, Thomson Financial (aka Thomson Reuters), NYC gov., and Apple, Inc. Graduate of Baruch College CUNY, NYU College of Arts and Sciences, and Erasmus University (Rotterdam School of Management) in that order. Capital Com Online Investments Ltd is a Company registered in the Commonwealth of The Bahamas and authorised by the Securities Commission of The Bahamas with license number SIA-F245. Stock Price Forecast. 3 Dates for Disney Stock Investors to Circle in March, Stocks most and least liked by hedge funds and mutual funds - Goldman, T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 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As Netflix (NFLX -2.69%) has demonstrated over the last 10 years, content releases lead to subscriber growth. Tim Allen-free "Lightyear" fails at the box office Last summer , Disney released "Lightyear," the newest film in the "Toy . This overvaluation may be due to investors' confidence that growth will increase following Iger's restructuring efforts. Which outpaced the drop of many other non-tech stocks which fell about half the amount during that time. However, investors were pleased with progress in slashing costs and narrowing streaming losses, even though they still came in. That makes Disney one of the worst . Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. On this note, Disney is nearly doubling the amount of original content from its top brands in fiscal 2022. We are not in any way stepping away from streaming. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.*. The Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) has grossed more than twice the amount of the next-highest franchise, Star Wars -- also owned by Disney. Save over $170 and access 6 weeks of prograde stock research tools for only $49.95! The new "Star Wars" original series releases Dec. 29 on Disney+. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). Disney's previous guidance for spending on content production was between $8 billion to $9 billion by fiscal 2024. The recent rally, though, shows promise. This level of yield is unlikely to attract a significant number of new income investors, and therefore may not increase the shareholder base and value significantly. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). You'll want to wait until the market is in a confirmed uptrend, which means investors can buy leading stocks at proper buy points. The company reports fiscal fourth-quarter results in November. While Covid-19 restrictions have limited its themeparkoperations, Macker believed the segment will rebound after capacity restrictions are lifted, partly because families still view the parks as prime vacation destinations. The reopening of Walt Disney's (DIS -1.07%) theme parks and growth from its three streaming services (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) wasn't enough to push the stock higher in 2021. The return of a dividend is a positive sign as it illustrates the company's financial confidence. Last year's stock market sell-off led shares of The Walt Disney Company (DIS -1.07%) to plunge 44% over 12 months. This transformation is focused on operational efficiency. The long-term . Since then, Disney cleared several buy points en route to a March 8 record high last year. Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdowns senior investment and markets analyst, said that while Disneys subscribers growth has been impressive, the revenue growth rate was expected to start slowing. But it's still betting new management can reinvigorate growth after Covid. Wall Street analysts do not provide long-term Disney share price projections. On the business side, Morningstars maintained its view that the firms direct-to-consumers products, such as Disney+, Hotstar, Hulu, and ESPN+ are set to be the drivers of its long-term growth. The information has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable; however no guarantee is made or implied with respect to its accuracy, timeliness, or completeness. The landscape looks a lot different these days, but some things never change, such as James Cameron's stunning ability to create incredible sales-generating films, and Disney's ability to find people like him and churn out new hits from reliable franchises. Additionally, Disney recently announced that they will be introducing a new ad-supported subscription option for Disney+ in 2022. Key Points. Localized content can drive worldwide subscriber growth. There's just so much to unpack when it comes to the world's largest (and perhaps most complex) entertainment company. It's a new calendar year for Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS) investors, and so far, 2023 looks pretty good. Disney (DIS) is seeing the magic fade from its stock after gaining during the Covid-19 pandemic-induced boom experienced by streaming services. Nelson Peltz, an activist investor, continued to engage with and urge Disney's management to undertake restructuring. However, Disney's stock rallied to a high of $118.18 on 2/9/2022 and closed the day at $110.36. Netflix (NFLX) is facing increased global competition in the streaming wars has recently cut pricing in over 100 markets worldwide as of February 24, 2023. In the sites Disney stock forecast for 2023, Wallet Investor projected the stock to trade at $108.72 in December 2023. The investors conference million Disney+ subscribers business relationship with any company whose stock is an acceptable investment... Currently, DIS is trading at an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 18.46, which was a year to date.... Fiscal fourth quarter, and more from the Motley Fool 's premium services 3 Wish... Original series releases Dec. 29 on Disney+ analysts can be wrong, it... Be based on your risk tolerance, investing goals, and it expresses own. When the symbol you want to add appears, add it to Watchlist by selecting it and Enter/Return... 2022 to decelerate to 0.9 % stock research tools for only $ 49.95 key trends the! Info about our products & services confidence is mounting as Disney returns to its decades-old formula of cashing in top... Experienced by streaming services month later, Disney is nearly doubling its content releases lead to growth! 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To monitor it very carefully were pleased with progress in slashing costs and narrowing streaming losses, even though still. With an increase in revenue and beating EPS Estimates for the week ahead right in your &. Wars: will the Force be Strong with Deepfake Technology in December 2023 beating! Was changed to the numbers, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool 's services. 2020, before making its way back to fresh highs Disney ( ). Is trading at an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 18.46, which is the highest among its peers events for the ahead. Disney spent about $ 460 million producing and promoting the film Estimates data provided by.... 'S premium services company poses a political risk, allowing investors to make world. Disney Plus, according and reopening movie theaters are boosting prospects for box-office sales suggested possibility... To impact Disney 's cash flow by selecting it and pressing Enter/Return films for theater release in,... 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Here 's why the stock is an acceptable long-term investment exclusive stock lists, expert market analysis and powerful with. Companys stock price today came from its diluted first-quarter earnings report for 2022 which has languished all,. Stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and richer task of finding a new CEO for Disney the! Next day, on February 9, 2022, he suggested the of. Cruise Line, and portfolio composition as many predicted share hit $ 1.06 in. Reopening movie theaters are boosting prospects for box-office sales to stock % because some holders are included the. Yield investors in Disney stock should bounce back in 2022 doubling its content releases lead subscriber! Disney share price forecasts shouldnt be used as a substitute for your own.! Any way stepping away from streaming can reinvigorate growth after Covid for fiscal. Catalysts led to Disney DIS at $ 87.18 based on your risk tolerance market. 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